The 2020 Real Estate Projections That May Surprise You

The 2020 Real Estate Projections That May Surprise You | MyKCM

This will be an interesting year for residential real estate. With a presidential election taking place this fall and talk of a possible recession occurring before the end of the year, predicting what will happen in the 2020 U.S. housing market can be challenging. As a result, taking a look at the combined projections from the most trusted entities in the industry when it comes to mortgage rateshome sales, and home prices is incredibly valuable – and they may surprise you.

Mortgage Rates

Projections from the experts at the National Association of Realtors (NAR), the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA), Fannie Mae, and Freddie Mac all forecast mortgage rates remaining stable throughout 2020:The 2020 Real Estate Projections That May Surprise You | MyKCMSince rates have remained under 5% for the last decade, we may not fully realize the opportunity we have right now.

Here are the average mortgage interest rates over the last several decades:

  • 1970s: 8.86%
  • 1980s: 12.70%
  • 1990s: 8.12%
  • 2000s: 6.29%

Home Sales

Three of the four expert groups noted above also predict an increase in home sales in 2020, and the fourth sees the transaction number remaining stable:The 2020 Real Estate Projections That May Surprise You | MyKCMWith mortgage rates remaining near all-time lows, demand should not be a challenge. The lack of available inventory, however, may moderate the increase in sales.

Home Prices

Below are the projections from six different expert entities that look closely at home values: CoreLogicFannie Mae, Ivy Zelman’s “Z Report”, the National Association of Realtors (NAR), Freddie Mac, and the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA).The 2020 Real Estate Projections That May Surprise You | MyKCMEach group has home values continuing to improve through 2020, with four of them seeing price appreciation increasing at a greater pace than it did in 2019.

Is a Recession Possible?

In early 2019, a large percentage of economists began predicting a recession may occur in 2020. In addition, a recent survey of potential home purchasers showed that over 50% agreed it would occur this year. The economy, however, remained strong in the fourth quarter, and that has caused many to rethink the possibility.

For example, Goldman Sachs, in their 2020 U.S. Outlook, explained:

“Markets sounded the recession alarm this year, and the average forecaster now sees a 33% chance of recession over the next year. In contrast, our new recession model suggests just a 20% probability. Despite the record age of the expansion, the usual late-cycle problems—inflationary overheating and financial imbalances—do not look threatening.”

Bottom Line

Mortgage rates are projected to remain under 4%, causing sales to increase in 2020. With growing demand and a limited supply of inventory, prices will continue to appreciate, while the threat of an impending recession seems to be softening. It looks like 2020 may be a solid year for the real estate market.

Days on Market April to June of 2018

Days on Market April to June of 2018

Hot Sellers Market is Cooling of as Fall Approaches   Stats are for April, May, and June of 2018 Secong Quarter of 2018 (April-June) An article in Realtor Magazine. The fall season is cooling down more than the temperature outside; it's also putting a...

Days on Market April to June of 2018

Real Estate Reality Show Myths

https://bit.ly/2w14Wve   Have you ever been flipping through the channels, only to find yourself glued to the couch in an HGTV binge session? We’ve all been there, watching entire seasons of “Love it or List it,” “Million Dollar Listing,” “House...

Days on Market April to June of 2018

What does Backup Offer Mean

Please keep in mind that most listing status changes must be made within three (3) business days of the date the status change occurs, with the exception of listings which are Canceled (change within 24 hours) and listings which are Sold (change within 5 business...

Mortgage Lending Video 2

Now that you're ready, it's time to get Pre-Approved. Let's take a look at how that works! Find the Right Lender for You! Our Trusted Lenders

Closing The Sale Video 5

Your offer got accepted, CONGRATULATIONS! But don't start moving in yet, there is still the Escrow process which takes an average of 30 days but can be as long as 6 months or as short as 3 days! Our Title People are Real Super Heroes!

The Offer Video 4

The Offer Video 4

It's everything you dreamed of! The perfect size, ideal floor plan, prime location, you have no problem calling this "Home" .... except it's not your's yet. Let's get into the Offer and Negotiation Process! Here's a little tip. Find a real certified...

Pin It on Pinterest

Utah Realty™
The 2020 Real Estate Projections That May Surprise You | MyKCM
The 2020 Real Estate Projections That May Surprise You | MyKCM
The 2020 Real Estate Projections That May Surprise You | MyKCM
The 2020 Real Estate Projections That May Surprise You | MyKCM
The Offer Video 4
Share This